Energy Commodities Price Outlook Economic Forecast

Energy Commodities Price Outlook

Energy prices fall at the sharpest pace in almost a year in August

Energy prices dived 3.1% month-on-month in August following July’s 3.5% increase, marking the first decline since April this year and the largest contraction since September 2020.

The overall fall was chiefly led by plunging crude oil prices. Crude  oil prices dived in mid-August, weighed on by growing concerns over Asian demand, particularly from China, as the spread of the Delta variant caused the reintroduction of lockdown measures, boding ill for consumption in turn. That said, fears of U.S. supply disruptions stemming from Hurricane  Ida and the successful containment of the Delta outbreak in China have since allowed prices for oil and its derivates to regain some lost ground. Meanwhile, prices for both coking and thermal coal continued to rally in August, propelled by supply disruptions and growing demand for energy consumption. Similarly, natural gas prices shot up in the month, bolstered by extreme-weather-driven demand for air conditioning in the U.S.

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Energy Commodities Historical Price Data

2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  
Brent Crude Oil52.42  43.83  54.26  71.01  64.32  
WTI Crude Oil48.68  43.28  50.84  64.94  56.97  
Gasoline1.94  1.44  1.72  2.04  1.96  
Natural Gas2.63  2.55  3.02  3.07  2.53  
Thermal Coal58.88  65.69  88.19  107.03  78  
Coking Coal 88.38  142.7  188.92  207.39  179.47  
Uranium36.81  26.45  22.06  24.55  25.9  
Gasoil488.16  390.61  482.81  625.62  579.12  

Note:

  • Brent Crude Oil prices in USD per barrel (bbl).
  • WTI Crude Oil prices in USD per barrel (bbl).
  • Gasoline prices in USD per gallon (gal).
  • Natural Gas prices in USD per Million of British Thermal Units (MMBtu).
  • Thermal Coal prices in USD per metric ton (mt).
  • Coking Coal prices in USD per metric ton (mt).
  • Uranium prices in USD per pound (lb).
  • Gasoil prices in USD per metric ton (mt).
  • All prices are average of period (aop).

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