Central Eastern Europe Award Winners
The FocusEconomics 10th Anniversary Analyst Forecast Awards celebrate a decade of recognising the world’s most accurate economic forecasters. Below are the top three ranked forecasters for each indicator across the Central & Eastern Europe region, covering 5 countries.
GDP
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
Analytics CCIS
Darja Močnik
|
FrontierView
Research Team
|
Standard Chartered
Philippe Dauba-Pantanacce
|
| Hungary |
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Dragana Ignjatovic
|
JPMorgan
Jose Cerveira
|
| Poland |
WIIW
Maciej Grodzicki
|
Santander Bank Polska
Research Team
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
| Romania |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Shuchita Shukla
|
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
ING
Valentin Tataru
|
| Turkey |
WIIW
Meryem Gökten
|
Garanti-BBVA Research
Garanti BBVA Research
|
HSBC
Melis Metiner
|
5 countries
Inflation
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
Erste Bank
Jiri Polansky
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
David Vagenknecht
|
| Hungary |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
ING
Péter Virovácz
|
Oxford Economics
Mateusz Urban
|
| Poland |
DekaBank
Research Team
|
DIW Berlin
Forecasting Team
|
Erste Bank
Jakub Cery
|
| Romania |
JPMorgan
Nicolaie Alexandru Chidesciuc
|
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
HSBC
Agata Urbanska-Giner
|
| Turkey |
HSBC
Melis Metiner
|
DekaBank
Research Team
|
DIW Berlin
Forecasting Team
|
5 countries
Current Account
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
PKO Bank Polski
PKO Bank Polski, Research Team
|
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
J&T Banka
|
|
| Hungary |
Erste Bank
Orsolya Nyeste, Janos Nagy
|
Barclays Capital
Barclays Research Team
|
Kopint-Tárki
Éva Palócz, Zoltán Matheika
|
|
| Poland |
Erste Bank
Jakub Cery
|
JPMorgan
Jose Cerveira
|
Fitch Ratings
Milan Trajkovic, Erich Arispe Morales
|
|
| Romania |
Erste Bank
Ciprian Dascalu, Vlad Ionita
|
HSBC
Agata Urbanska-Giner
|
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
|
| Turkey |
Citigroup Global Mkts
Ilker Domac
|
Oxford Economics
Maya Senussi
|
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs Research Team
|
5 countries
Fiscal Balance
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey |
Fitch Ratings
Douglas Winslow, Malgorzata Krzywicka
|
Spinn Consulting
Özlem Derici Şengül
|
ING
Muhammet Mercan
|
1 countries
Exchange Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
J&T Banka
Adam Ruschka
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Erste Bank
Jiri Polansky
|
| Hungary |
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
EIU
Matt Sherwood
|
MBH Bank
MBH Bank
|
| Poland |
Hume’s Institute
Forecasting and Econometric Modelling Team
|
UBS
Anna Zadornova
|
Polish Chamber of Commerce
Piotr Soroczyński
|
| Romania |
Erste Bank
Ciprian Dascalu, Vlad Ionita
|
Oxford Economics
Yash Adwani
|
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
| Turkey |
Yatirim Finansman
YF Economic Research Team
|
EIU
Adeline Van Houtte
|
S&P Global Ratings
Valerijs Rezvijs
|
5 countries
Interest Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
UBS
Gyorgy Kovacs
|
Creditas Bank
Petr Dufek
|
J&T Banka
Adam Ruschka
|
| Hungary |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Dragana Ignjatovic
|
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
MBH Bank
MBH Bank
|
| Poland |
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs Research Team
|
Hume’s Institute
Forecasting and Econometric Modelling Team
|
Polish Economic Institute
Jakub Rybacki, Marcin Klucznik
|
| Romania |
JPMorgan
Nicolaie Alexandru Chidesciuc
|
ING
Valentin Tataru
|
Scope Ratings
Brian Marly, Julian Zimmermann
|
| Turkey |
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet, Dennis Shen
|
5 countries
Unemployment
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
Hume’s Institute
Forecasting and Econometric Modelling Team
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
David Vagenknecht
|
| Hungary |
HSBC
Agata Urbanska-Giner
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
| Poland |
Raiffeisen Research
Dorota Strauch
|
EIU
Sili Tian
|
Santander Bank Polska
Research Team
|
| Romania |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
HSBC
Agata Urbanska-Giner
|
| Turkey |
FrontierView
Research Team
|
Eurobank
Michail Vassileiadis
|
EIU
Adeline Van Houtte
|
5 countries
Overall
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic |
WIIW
Ioannis Gutzianas
|
Creditas Bank
Petr Dufek
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
| Hungary |
Erste Bank
Orsolya Nyeste, Janos Nagy
|
Oxford Economics
Mateusz Urban
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Dragana Ignjatovic
|
| Poland |
Hume’s Institute
Forecasting and Econometric Modelling Team
|
Raiffeisen Research
Dorota Strauch
|
Polish Chamber of Commerce
Piotr Soroczyński
|
| Romania |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Shuchita Shukla
|
ING
Valentin Tataru
|
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
| Turkey |
Garanti-BBVA Research
Garanti BBVA Research
|
WIIW
Meryem Gökten
|
Spinn Consulting
Özlem Derici Şengül
|
5 countries
Rankings determined by FocusEconomics’ proprietary accuracy methodology. Where two forecasters achieved equal accuracy, both are listed at the same rank.