Exchange Rate in Japan
Japan - Exchange Rate (average of period)
Trump’s victory and Fed’s hike prompt sharp depreciation of yen
The Japanese yen (JPY) has been depreciating sharply against the U.S. dollar since Donald Trump’s victory in the 8 November presidential election and, in particular, following the United States Federal Reserve’s decision to raise its benchmark interest rate at the 13–14 December meeting. On 15 December, the JPY marked the weakest reading since February this year; it traded at JPY 118.2 per USD. This was 8.2% weaker than the level observed on the same day in November. That said, on an annual basis, the Japanese yen still gained 2.9% against the greenback.
The sharp weakening of the yen mostly reflects expectations that Trump’s policies will boost growth in the world’s largest economy via stronger fiscal stimulus and that the Federal Reserve will have to hike rates, thereby widening U.S.–Japanese interest rate differentials. This situation contrasts with the dynamics observed earlier this year, where rising risk aversion due to an uncertain global outlook had led the yen to strengthen to a nearly three-year high.
If sustained, the depreciation of the yen could cause a rebound in exports, translating into an improvement in businesses’ earnings, higher inflation, and stronger investment and manufacturing activity. Nevertheless, Trump’s unclear policy plans will cast a long shadow on the yen’s performance in the coming months.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the yen to trade at 117.7 per USD by the end of 2017. For 2018, the panel projects that the yen will weaken to 119.4 per USD.
Japan - Exchange Rate (aop) Data
|Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop)||79.70||79.84||97.63||105.9||121.1|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Japan Exchange Rate (aop) Chart
Source: Thomson Reuters
|Bond Yield||0.06||-3.45 %||Mar 23|
|Exchange Rate||111.0||-0.19 %||Mar 23|
|Stock Market||19,085||0.23 %||Mar 23|
Get a sample report showing all the data and analysis covered in our Regional, Country and Commodities reports.
Start Your Free Trial
Start working with the reports used by the world’s major financial institutions, multinational enterprises & government agencies now. Click on the button below to get started.
March 24, 2017
The Nikkei Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell from February’s revised 53.3 (previously reported: 53.5) to 52.6 in March.
March 22, 2017
Japanese nominal exports valued in yen increased 11.3% from the same month last year in February, following January’s 1.3% increase.
March 16, 2017
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its monetary policy stance at its 15–16 March meeting, voting to continue with its Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) with Yield Curve Control program as long as is necessary to achieve and maintain its 2.0% inflation target.
March 13, 2017
Core machinery orders (a leading indicator of capital spending over a three- to six-month period) fell in January, casting doubts about the sustainability of the Japanese recovery.
March 8, 2017
The Japanese economy grew at a faster rate than previously reported in Q4 as private consumption managed to grow mildly and investment recorded a healthy expansion, according to revised data released on 8 March.