Inflation in United Kingdom

United Kingdom Inflation | Economic News & Forecasts

United Kingdom - Inflation

Inflation plunges to lowest level since April in July

Consumer prices fell a seasonally-adjusted 0.02% in July over the previous month, contrasting June's 0.50% rise. July's result marked the sharpest fall in prices since January. The figure was largely due to plunging prices for recreation and culture.

Inflation fell to 2.0% in July from June’s 2.5%. July's reading marked the lowest inflation rate since April. Annual average inflation was unchanged at June's 1.0% in July. Core inflation fell to 1.8% in July, from the previous month's 2.3%.

Despite July’s dip, our panelists see inflation rising back above the Bank of England’s 2.0% target by the end of the year, which could put pressure on the Bank of England to dial back its monetary stimulus.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 1.9% in 2021, which is up 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 2.1% in 2022.

United Kingdom - Inflation Data

2015   2016   2017   2018   2019  
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %)0.0  0.7  2.7  2.5  1.8  

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United Kingdom Inflation Chart


United Kingdom Inflation
Note: Annual variation of consumer price index (CPI) in %.
Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS).

United Kingdom Facts

Value Change Date
Bond Yield0.83-3.04 %Jan 01
Exchange Rate1.33-0.35 %Jan 01

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