Trade Balance in Thailand

Thailand Trade Balance | Economic News & Forecasts

Thailand - Trade Balance

Exports shrink in February

Thai exports dropped 4.5% year-on-year in February, swinging from January’s 3.3% increase, likely influenced by the Covid-19 pandemic depressing globe trade and economic activity. The print, moreover, reflected lower exports of cars; polymers of ethylene and propylene; chemical products; electronic integrated circuits; and iron and steel. This more than offset strong growth in precious stones and jewelry.

Imports, meanwhile, fell 4.3% over a year ago, up from the 7.9% contraction in January. As imports continued to plunge, the trade balance swung from a USD 1.6 billion deficit in January to a USD 3.9 billion surplus in February; on a 12-month rolling basis, however, the trade surplus narrowed from USD 12.0 billion to USD 11.8 billion.

Exports are expected to take a beating from the Covid-19 pandemic this year and weigh on the overall economy. Moreover, the balance of risks is notably titled to the downside owing to the pandemic, a slowing Chinese economy and the trade dispute between the U.S. and China.

FocusEconomics panelists expect exports to contract 0.8% in 2020. The panel sees imports increasing 0.5% in 2020, which would bring the trade surplus to USD 23.6 billion. In 2021, exports and imports are expected to increase 5.4% and 6.9% respectively, with the trade surplus narrowing to USD 21.5 billion.

Thailand - Trade Balance Data

2015   2016   2017   2018   2019  
Trade Balance (USD billion)26.1  35.8  32.6  22.4  26.6  

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Thailand Trade Balance Chart


Thailand Trade
Note: Trade balance in (USD bn).
Source: Bank of Thailand and FocusEconomics calculations.

Thailand Facts

Value Change Date
Exchange Rate30.110.17 %Dec 30

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