Exchange Rate in Russia
Russia - Exchange Rate
Ruble recovers some lost ground though early June
The Russian ruble continued to regain ground against the U.S. dollar over the past month after sliding to a four-year low at the end of March. On 5 June, it traded at RUB 68.7 per USD, which marked a 7.3% appreciation over the previous month. That said, the currency was down 4.9% year-on-year and 9.9% year-to-date.
The ruble’s recent upturn came against the backdrop of gradually recovering global oil prices which regained some lost ground after nosediving to a 20-year low in late April. This, coupled with improving investor sentiment and increasing risk appetite for emerging market assets, supported the ruble in recent weeks, sending it to a near three-month high on 2 June.
Going forward, the ruble is expected to remain close to current levels through year-end, although significant volatility due to the economic fallout from Covid-19 poses significant risk. On the one hand, the Russian economy is set to contract severely from Q2 onwards, weighing on the RUB in turn, with sustained monetary policy easing adding further downward pressure. On the other hand, a more stable global oil market and improving investor sentiment should take some pressure off the currency.
The FocusEconomics panel projects the ruble will end this year at 72.2 per USD, before appreciating to 68.7 per USD by the end of 2021.
Russia - Exchange Rate Data
|Exchange Rate (vs USD)||72.88||60.27||57.63||68.88||61.91|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Russia Exchange Rate Chart
Source: Thomson Reuters.
|Bond Yield||6.23||0.13 %||Dec 30|
|Exchange Rate||62.03||-0.12 %||Dec 30|
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February 15, 2021
Industrial output slid 2.5% in year-on-year terms in January, which contrasted December's 2.1% increase.
February 12, 2021
Merchandise exports shrank 10.4% in annual terms in December (November: -16.9% year-on-year).
February 12, 2021
At its meeting on 12 February, the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) held the key interest rate stable at a record low of 4.25%.
February 5, 2021
Consumer prices rose 0.67% over the previous month in January, a smaller increase than December's 0.83% increase.
February 3, 2021
The IHS Markit Russia Services Business Activity Index jumped to a four-month high of 52.7 in January, from 48.0 in December.