Sight Deposit Rate in Norway
The sight deposit rate ended 2024 at 4.50%, compared to the end-2023 value of 4.50% and the figure a decade earlier of 1.25%. It averaged 1.59% over the last decade. For more interest rate information, visit our dedicated page.
Norway Interest Rate Chart
Note: This chart displays Policy Interest Rate (%) for Norway from 2014 to 2024.
Source: Macrobond.
Norway Interest Rate Data
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sight Deposit Rate (%, eop) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 2.75 | 4.50 | 4.50 |
3-Month NIBOR (%, eop) | 0.49 | 0.95 | 3.26 | 4.73 | 4.68 |
10-Year Bond Yield (%, eop) | 0.96 | 1.71 | 3.20 | 3.24 | 3.84 |
Norges Bank postpones a loosening cycle again in May
Policymakers deliver another widely anticipated hold: At its meeting on 7 May, Norges Bank stood pat, leaving the sight deposit rate unchanged at a 17-year high of 4.50%. The hold was the 11th consecutive and had been priced in by markets.
Sticky inflation delays easing cycle: Norges Bank determined that elevated interest rates were “still needed” to guide inflation toward its 2.0% target. The Bank assessed that the output gap—how much bigger actual economic output is compared to its potential level—has become less positive thanks to recently restrictive monetary policy. This, in turn, has helped price pressures ease markedly since peaking at the tail end of 2022. Still, Norges Bank decided to postpone easing its stance as inflation continues to outpace target due to a tight labor market, recent depreciatory pressure on the krone and healthy wage growth. Moreover, the monetary authority highlighted that uncertainty has increased regarding the outlook for inflation and GDP growth on the back of rising protectionism in the U.S., further warranting a wait-and-see approach.
Rate cuts on the horizon: Norges Bank’s forward guidance echoed that of its last meeting, stating that the policy rate would “likely” be reduced this year, forecasting the rate at around 4.00% by December. Around half of our panelists see the Bank kicking off its monetary policy loosening cycle at its next meeting on 18 June—with the decision to be announced the following day—while the rest see it starting in Q3. Our Consensus is for 50–100 basis points of reductions overall in 2025.
Panelist insight: Swedbank’s Kjetil Martinsen commented: “Domestic developments are little changed relative to the March projections, suggesting the baseline of a first rate cut in September is still valid. Inflation would still need to decline closer to 2% before any cut is delivered. We continue to expect two rate cuts this year, in September and December. Slower global growth, lower oil prices and lower policy rates among important trading partners should result in more rate cuts priced in the June rate path over the coming years.”
How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Norwegian interest rate projections for the next ten years from a panel of 14 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable interest rate forecast available for Norwegian interest rate.
Download one of our sample reports to visualize what a Consensus Forecast is and see our Norwegian interest rate projections.
Want to get access to the full dataset of Norwegian interest rate forecasts? Send an email to info@focus-economics.com.
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