Exchange Rate in Mexico
Mexico - Exchange Rate (average of period)
Peso rallies on likely Joe Biden victory in U.S. presidential election
The Mexican peso posted strong gains against the U.S. dollar over the past month, particularly rallying during the week of the U.S. presidential election that saw Democratic contender Joe Biden move closer to victory. On 6 November, the peso ended the day at 20.59 per USD, marking a 5.6% appreciation month-on-month. That said, the currency was down 7.0% year-on-year, while it has lost 8.0% of its value year-to-date.
Emerging-market currencies in general benefited from strengthening expectations that Joe Biden would eke out a victory in the U.S presidential race as well as from the prospect of Republicans retaining control of the Senate, thus pointing to largely static U.S. fiscal policy ahead. This would force the Federal Reserve to keep rates low for longer, boosting interest for higher-yield markets in turn. In addition, the likely Biden presidency supported the Mexican currency, which has been pressured by the Trump administration’s hard line stance on trade, on expectations of a less adversarial trade policy going forward.
Despite these gains, the peso is still markedly down from February’s pre-pandemic levels. And although it may strengthen further following the final election results, gains could prove to be short-lived as the economy’s recovery from the Covid-19 blow is showing signs of losing momentum, despite the solid quarterly rebound in GDP in Q3. Moreover, given its highly liquid and traded nature, the MXN remains vulnerable to sharp swings in market sentiment.
Our panel sees the MXN ending 2021 at 21.93 per USD and 2022 at 21.36 per USD.
Mexico - Exchange Rate (aop) Data
|Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop)||15.88||18.69||18.91||19.23||19.25|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Mexico Exchange Rate (aop) Chart
Source: Thomson Reuters.
|Bond Yield||6.87||-0.24 %||Dec 31|
|Exchange Rate||18.93||-0.29 %||Jan 01|
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October 7, 2021
Consumer prices rose 0.62% in September over the previous month, picking up from August's 0.19% rise.
October 4, 2021
Remittances totaled USD 4.7 billion in August, representing a 32.7% year-on-year expansion.
October 4, 2021
Consumer confidence came in at 43.4 in September, up from August's 42.6.
October 1, 2021
The Mexican Institute of Financial Executives (IMEF) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.8 in September from 50.8 in August.
September 30, 2021
On 30 September, the Governing Board of the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) opted to hike the target for the overnight interbank interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%, following August’s 25 basis-point increase.