Inflation in Italy
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (end of period)
Inflation at close to three-year low in September
Consumer prices fell a revised 0.6% month-on-month in September (previously reported: -0.5% month-on-month), contrasting August’s 0.4% increase, according to revised data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 16 October. The figure mainly reflected lower prices for services related to transport, influenced by seasonal factors. Meanwhile, inflation dipped to 0.3% (previously reported: 0.4%) from August’s 0.4%, marking the lowest reading since November 2016.
Core consumer prices, which exclude more volatile categories such as unprocessed food and energy, dropped 0.6% from the previous month in September, swinging from August’s 0.5% increase. Meanwhile, core inflation inched up from August’s 0.5% to 0.6%, while harmonized inflation fell to 0.2% from August’s 0.5%.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation of 1.5% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2020, panelists expect inflation to average 1.7%.
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (eop) Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate (HICP, annual variation in %, eop) | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Italy Harmonized Inflation (eop) Chart
Source: National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) and FocusEconomics calculations.
Italy Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 0.82 | -0.40 % | Sep 04 |
| Exchange Rate | 1.10 | 0.65 % | Sep 04 |
| Stock Market | 21,738 | -0.99 % | Sep 04 |
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Economic News
Italy: Inflation at close to three-year low in September
October 16, 2019
Consumer prices fell a revised 0.6% month-on-month in September (previously reported: -0.5% month-on-month), contrasting August’s 0.4% increase, according to revised data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 16 October.
Italy: Industrial production rebounds mildly in August
October 10, 2019
Industrial output rose 0.3% in August on a month-on-month, seasonally-adjusted basis, following July’s revised 0.8% drop (previously reported: -0.7% month-on-month).
Italy: Sharper deterioration in manufacturing conditions in September
October 1, 2019
The IHS Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 47.8 in September from 48.7 in August.
Italy: Inflation stable in September
September 30, 2019
Consumer prices fell 0.5% month-on-month in September, contrasting August’s 0.4% increase, according to provisional data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 30 September.
Italy: Business sentiment weakens further in September
September 27, 2019
The National Institute of Statistics (Istat)’s composite business confidence indicator (Clima di Fiducia delle Imprese Italiane, IESE)—which covers the manufacturing, construction, market services and retail sectors—fell to 98.5 in September from August’s 98.9. September’s reading came on the back of worsening confidence in the manufacturing and retail trade sectors, which more than offset stronger sentiment in the construction and market services sectors.
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