Inflation in Italy
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (end of period)
Inflation ticks up in February on higher food prices
According to revised data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 15 March, consumer prices rose a revised 0.1% month-on-month in February (previously reported: +0.2% month-on-month), matching January’s increase. The figure reflected higher prices for unprocessed food, tobacco and non-regulated energy products, which more than offset lower prices for services related to communication. Meanwhile, inflation came in at a revised 1.0% in February (previously reported: +1.1%), slightly above January’s 0.9% print.
Core consumer prices, which exclude more volatile categories such as unprocessed food and energy, remained unchanged from the previous month in February, mirroring January’s flat reading. Meanwhile, core inflation inched down from January’s 0.5% to 0.4% in February—the lowest print in over one year—and harmonized inflation increased to 1.1% from January’s 0.9%.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation of 1.5% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2020, panelists expect inflation to average 1.7%.
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (eop) Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate (HICP, annual variation in %, eop) | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Italy Harmonized Inflation (eop) Chart
Source: National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) and FocusEconomics calculations.
Italy Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 2.53 | -0.40 % | Mar 20 |
| Exchange Rate | 1.14 | 0.65 % | Mar 20 |
| Stock Market | 21,330 | -0.99 % | Mar 20 |
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Italy: Inflation ticks up in February on higher food prices
February 28, 2019
According to revised data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 15 March, consumer prices rose a revised 0.1% month-on-month in February (previously reported: +0.2% month-on-month), matching January’s increase.
Italy: Business confidence at four-year low in February
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The National Institute of Statistics (Istat)’s composite business confidence indicator (Clima di Fiducia delle Imprese Italiane, IESE)—which covers the manufacturing, construction, market services and retail sectors—fell to 98.3 points in February from January’s revised 99.1 points (previously reported: 99.2 points), marking the worst reading since February 2015. February’s reading was the result of deteriorating sentiment in the manufacturing, construction and market services sectors, which more than offset improved sentiment in the retail trade sector.
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