Trade Balance in India
India - Trade Balance
Merchandise export growth accelerates in May; India retaliates against U.S. GSP revocation
Annual merchandise export growth accelerated to 3.9% in May, up from the 0.6% growth in April. Exports in May were supported by a sharp increase in electronic good shipments, in addition to strong external sales of chemicals and ready-made garments. Merchandise imports increased 4.3% in May, down slightly from April’s 4.5% growth. Higher imports in May were largely caused by an 8.2% rise in oil purchases from abroad.
The merchandise trade deficit was USD 15.4 billion in May, which represented a widening compared to the USD 14.6 billion shortfall in the same month a year earlier and the USD 15.3 billion deficit in April. Meanwhile, the 12-month trailing sum of the trade deficit widened to USD 178.8 billion in May from USD 178.0 billion in April.
In other trade news, on 14 June the Indian government announced it was slapping new tariffs on 28 goods imported from the U.S., including almonds and applies. The move was seen by analysts as retaliation to the U.S.’s decision on 31 May to revoke India’s general system of preferences trade designation, which had previously allowed approximately USD 6 billion worth of Indian goods to enter the U.S. market duty free.
India Trade Balance Forecast
Our panelists forecast that exports will expand 7.8% in FY 2019 and imports will rise 7.6%, bringing the merchandise trade deficit to USD 189.0 billion. In FY 2020, we expect exports and imports will expand 7.6% and 6.8% respectively, which would result in a merchandise trade deficit of USD 199.0 billion.
India - Trade Balance Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Balance (USD billion) | -136.6 | -137.5 | -117.2 | -109.0 | -157.0 |
India Trade Balance Chart
Source: Reserve Bank of India.
India Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 6.92 | -0.04 % | Jun 14 |
| Exchange Rate | 69.83 | -0.09 % | Jun 14 |
| Stock Market | 39,452 | -0.08 % | Jun 14 |
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Economic News
India: Merchandise export growth accelerates in May; India retaliates against U.S. GSP revocation
June 14, 2019
Annual merchandise export growth accelerated to 3.9% in May, up from the 0.6% growth in April.
India: Industrial production growth accelerates in April
June 12, 2019
Industrial production increased 3.4% in April in annual terms, up from March’s revised 0.4% increase (previously reported: -0.1% year-on-year) and marking the fastest pace of growth in six months.
India: Consumer price inflation remains unchanged in May
June 12, 2019
In May, consumer prices rose 0.57% compared to the previous month, matching April’s figure.
India: Reserve Bank of India chops rates in June
June 6, 2019
As expected by market analysts, the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut all monetary policy rates by 0.25 percentage points at its 4–5 June meeting, reducing the repo rate to 5.75%, the marginal standing facility to 6.00% and the reverse repurchase rate to 5.50%.
India: The private sector expands at a steady pace in May
June 5, 2019
The composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) produced by Nikkei and IHS Market was unchanged in May at April’s 51.7.
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