Economic activity surprises markets to the upside: According to a preliminary reading, GDP growth edged up to 4.5% year on...
Fixed Investment in Estonia
Estonia's economy recorded an average growth rate of 3.7% in fixed investment during the past decade to 2024, which is above the 2.2% average for Euro Area. In 2024, the fixed investment growth in Estonia was -6.9%. For more investment information, visit our dedicated page.
Estonia Investment Chart
Note: This chart displays Investment (annual variation in %) for Estonia from 2014 to 2024.
Source: Macrobond.
Estonia Investment Data
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Investment (ann. var. %) | 17.8 | 0.3 | -8.1 | 7.5 | -6.9 |
Economy contracts in Q1
Sustained growth remains a distant dream: GDP fell 0.3% in Q1 2025 in annual terms following Q4 2024’s 1.2% expansion. The decline was the strongest since Q3 2024 and was notably below the flash estimate of a 1.2% rise. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, economic activity shrank 0.3% in Q1, compared to the previous period's 0.2% growth and marking the worst reading since Q4 2023.
Household consumption and net exports cap momentum: Domestically, private spending drove the annual contraction, declining 0.6% in Q1 compared to a 1.3% expansion in Q4. That said, elsewhere in the domestic economy, momentum improved. Government spending rebounded, growing 1.7% in Q1 (Q4 2024: -1.1% yoy); moreover, fixed investment fell at a softer pace of 0.1% in Q1 following the 10.3% decrease in the previous quarter, boosted by public outlays in the defense sector as part of the EU’s rearmament drive. On the external side, exports of goods and services growth improved to 5.4% in Q1 (Q4 2024: +2.9% yoy). However, imports of goods and services growth sped up to 5.8% in Q1 (Q4 2024: +4.8% yoy). As a result, the contribution of net trade to GDP growth remained negative.
Consensus Forecasts and Projections for the next ten years
How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Estonian investment projections for the next ten years from a panel of 5 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable investment forecast available for Estonian investment.
Download one of our sample reports to visualize what a Consensus Forecast is and see our Estonian investment projections.
Want to get access to the full dataset of Estonian investment forecasts? Send an email to info@focus-economics.com.
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