GDP in Colombia
Colombia - GDP
Economic growth inches up in Q2
The economy expanded at a marginally faster pace of 1.3% year-on-year in Q2 after a disappointing start in Q1 (+1.2% year-on-year). The slight uptick in GDP growth was largely the result of increased government spending—which was a lifeline for the economy in the first half of the year—and a rebound in fixed investment. It generally met market analysts’ expectations.
Domestic demand expanded modestly and was underpinned by government expenditure, which has been picking up this year ahead of the upcoming presidential election next May. Government consumption expanded 4.2% in annual terms, a marked acceleration over Q1’s 2.6% expansion. In addition, Q2 saw a small pickup in private consumption—which accounts for around three-fifths of GDP—despite a calendar effect from the Easter holiday and soft numbers in retail throughout the quarter (Q2: +1.5% yoy; Q1: +1.4% yoy). Moreover, fixed investment finally rebounded in Q2, recording growth for the first time in two years (Q2: +1.1% yoy; Q1: -0.8% yoy) as work on the 4G road infrastructure project stimulated construction activity.
The external sector continued to perform poorly in Q2, although the contraction in exports moderated to minus 1.7% on a yearly basis (Q1: -4.7% yoy). Imports, on the other hand, swung from contraction to expansion, recording growth of 3.7% on a yearly basis (Q1: -0.4% yoy). All told, the net contribution to growth from the external sector was minus 1.2 percentage points (Q1: minus 0.6 percentage points).
In seasonally-adjusted terms, the economy expanded 0.7% in Q2 after a contraction of 0.3% in Q1 (previously reported: -0.2% SAAR).
Against the backdrop of the adjustment to low oil prices and the residual effects from last year’s prolonged drought, modest growth in Q2 suggests that Colombia’s economy is finally set to pick up in the second half of the year. Panelists participating in the LatinFocus Consensus Forecast project that GDP will expand 2.3% in 2017, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2018, panelists expect GDP to grow 3.0%.
Colombia - GDP Data
|Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)||4.0||4.9||4.4||3.1||2.0|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Colombia GDP Chart
Source: Statistical Institute (DANE).
|Bond Yield||6.57||0.77 %||Sep 21|
|Exchange Rate||2,915||0.83 %||Sep 21|
|Stock Market||11,075||-0.03 %||Sep 21|
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September 5, 2017
Consumer prices rose 0.14% from the previous month in August after falling 0.05% in July, according to the National Department of Administrative Statistics (DANE).
August 31, 2017
On 31 August, the Board of Directors of Colombia’s Central Bank, BanRep, decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% from 5.50%, the seventh consecutive rate cut since 2016.
August 16, 2017
The Fedesarrollo Consumer Confidence Index (ICC) rose from minus 11.7 points in June to minus 9.5 points in July, the highest figure so far this year.
August 15, 2017
The economy expanded at a marginally faster pace of 1.3% year-on-year in Q2 after a disappointing start in Q1 (+1.2% year-on-year).
August 14, 2017
Industrial production contracted for a third consecutive month in June, declining a further 1.9% on the heels of May’s revised 0.8% contraction (previously reported: -0.6% year-on-year).