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China Merchandise Exports

China Merchandise Exports

Merchandise Exports in China

In the year 2024, the merchandise exports in China was USD 3577 billion, compared to USD 2342 billion in 2014 and USD 3379 billion in 2023. It averaged USD 2765 billion over the last decade. For more exports information, visit our dedicated page.

China Merchandise Exports Chart

Note: This chart displays Exports (USD billion) for China from 2014 to 2024.
Source: Macrobond.

China Merchandise Exports Data

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Merchandise Exports (USD bn) 2,590 3,357 3,544 3,379 3,577
Merchandise Exports (ann. var. %) 3.6 29.6 5.6 -4.7 5.8

Merchandise exports grow at a milder pace in May

Latest reading: Merchandise exports climbed 4.8% on an annual basis in May, on the heels of April’s 8.1% rise and slightly below market expectations. Exports to the U.S. plunged by over a third due to U.S. tariffs, though this was more than offset by higher exports to other locations; some goods bound for the U.S. were likely rerouted via third countries to avoid tariffs. Meanwhile, merchandise imports decreased 3.4% over the same month last year in May (April: -0.2% yoy). As a result, the merchandise trade balance improved from the previous month, recording a USD 103.2 billion surplus in May (April 2025: USD 96.2 billion surplus; May 2024: USD 81.4 billion surplus). Lastly, the trend pointed up, with the 12-month trailing merchandise trade balance recording a USD 1127.1 billion surplus in May, compared to the USD 1105.3 billion surplus in April.

Panelist insight: On the latest data and outlook, Nomura analysts said: “The miss in exports is not a big surprise to us, as the substantial tariff swings in April-May make forecasting monthly trade data challenging. We have been stressing that the boost from the US tariff rollback should be more significant in June, as it might take a couple of weeks to restore the logistics network that was disrupted by what had nearly become a US-China trade embargo. The sharp recovery in container bookings and freight rates indicate an incoming rebound in US-bound exports in June. However, significant payback is likely to surface after the 90-day truce period ends in mid-August.”

Consensus Forecasts and Projections for the next ten years

How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Chinese merchandise exports projections for the next ten years from a panel of 11 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable merchandise exports forecast available for Chinese merchandise exports.

Download one of our sample reports to visualize what a Consensus Forecast is and see our Chinese merchandise exports projections.

Want to get access to the full dataset of Chinese merchandise exports forecasts? Send an email to info@focus-economics.com.

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