GDP in Belgium

Belgium - GDP
Economy loses momentum in Q4 but outperforms expectations
According to a flash estimate, the economy stagnated in the fourth quarter amid a second Covid-19 wave and tighter restrictions, growing a mere 0.2% on a seasonally-adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, after rebounding 11.6% in Q3. On an annual basis, economic activity was down 4.8% in Q4, deteriorating from Q3's 4.3% fall. Although a breakdown of expenditure components is not yet available, production data shows industry grew 4.7% and construction by 3.3%. However, the services sector was down 0.6%.
Despite the slowdown, activity held up better than expected amid the second-wave. On this, Philippe Ledent, senior economist at ING, commented:
“GDP growing by 0.2% therefore seems to indicate that […] compared to the first lockdown, many enterprises have succeeded in adapting their working conditions to the containment measures imposed. Probably 4Q was also boosted by stronger exports due to inventory building in the UK in the run-up to the end of the Brexit transition period.”
However, on the outlook, he cautioned:
“The containment measures taken in the fourth quarter are, for the most part, still in force. As a result, economic growth is expected to be almost nil in the first quarter and could be slightly negative as containment measures might not be loosened before the second quarter, with the more contagious strains of Covid-19 now also increasing. “
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists project GDP to increase 4.4% in 2021, which is up 0.2 percentage points from last month’s projection. For 2022, the panel sees economic growth of 3.9%.
Belgium - GDP Data
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %) | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Belgium GDP Chart

Source: National Bank of Belgium and FocusEconomics calculations
Belgium Facts
Value | Change | Date | |
---|---|---|---|
Bond Yield | 0.10 | 0.15 % | Dec 31 |
Exchange Rate | 1.12 | 0.65 % | Dec 31 |
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Economic News
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Belgium: Consumer sentiment bounces back in February; business sentiment continues to rise
February 22, 2021
The consumer confidence indicator produced by the National Bank of Belgium (NBB) rose to minus 9 in February, improving from January’s minus 10, despite the recent extension of pandemic-related restrictions until April.
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Belgium: Industrial activity declines sharply in December
February 10, 2021
Industrial output decreased 4.6% year-on-year in December (November: +0.2% yoy).
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Belgium: Economy loses momentum in Q4 but outperforms expectations
January 29, 2021
According to a flash estimate, the economy stagnated in the fourth quarter amid a second Covid-19 wave and tighter restrictions, growing a mere 0.2% on a seasonally-adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, after rebounding 11.6% in Q3.
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Belgium: Consumer sentiment deteriorates in January; business sentiment continues to rise
January 25, 2021
The consumer confidence indicator produced by the National Bank of Belgium (NBB) fell to minus 10 in January, deteriorating from December’s minus 8, amid the extension of Covid-19 related restrictions until March.
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Belgium: Industrial activity deteriorates in November
January 11, 2021
Industrial production dropped 0.4% in November (October: +5.7% yoy).