Interest Rate in Belarus

Belarus Interest Rate | Economic News & Forecasts

Belarus - Interest Rate

Central Bank stays put in May

At its 3 May meeting, the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus (NBRB) left the refinancing rate unchanged at an over decade-low 10.0%, in line with analysts’ expectations.

The decision to refrain from another cut was reflective of higher inflation at the outset of the year, caused by higher fuel prices and a poor agricultural harvest at the end of last year. Moreover, robust wage growth in the back-end of 2018 further stoked prices pressures, as demand was pushed ahead of supply in Q1. Meanwhile, the Belarusian ruble held its ground in Q1 amid a favorable external environment, as higher inflation in Russia, the country’s main trading partner, offset the rise in domestic price pressures.

Regarding its forward-looking guidance, the NBRB expects the current rate to bring inflation near the 5.0% target by the end of the year. Domestic inflation should begin to ease amid more moderate household spending and increased productivity in the months ahead. Meanwhile, the external environment will likely support the outlook, as the recent dovish turn in major central banks lowered capital outflow risks. Nevertheless, downside risks stemming from a downturn in the exchanged rate, owing to a drop in oil prices, persist.

The next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for 7 August.

FocusEconomics panelists project the key interest rate to end 2019 at 10.1% and 2020 at 10.0%.

Belarus - Interest Rate Data

2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  
Policy Interest Rate (%)23.50  20.00  25.00  18.00  11.00  

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Belarus Interest Rate Chart

Belarus Interest Rate
Note: Policy Interest Rate in % (eop).
Source: National Bank of the Republic of Belarus.

Belarus Facts

Exchange Rate2.03-0.36 %Jul 31
Stock Market0.10.0 %Jul 31

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