Kenya PMI August 2016

Kenya

Kenya: PMI continues to recover in August

September 5, 2016

The composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is produced by IHS Markit and CfC Stanbic Bank, increased for a second consecutive month in August, after hitting the lowest level on record in June. In August, the PMI edged up from July’s 53.3 to 53.5, thus remaining above the 50-threshold, which points to expansion in business activity. The index has been in expansionary territory since the survey was launched in January 2014.

August’s modest improvement mainly reflected robust output growth, increasing input stocks on the back of strengthening demand as well as rising new orders, including new export orders. The pace of job creation also sped up slightly. According to the survey report, “new orders from abroad supported business as exports rose at the fastest pace since May. Subdued costs for the remainder of the year should assist firms in boosting production and subsequently support output; however this benign outlook on costs could alter if the currency faces volatility via portfolio outflows following the recent amendment to the banking bill. Nonetheless, high profile conferences like the recently concluded TICAD are evidently underpinning an impressive recovery in the tourism sector.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect fixed investment to expand 5.9% in 2016, which is down 0.9 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2017, panelists expect fixed investment to grow 7.4%.


Author: Teresa Kersting, Economist

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Kenya PMI August 2016 0

Note: Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Composite Output. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity while a value below 50 points to a contraction.
Source: CfC Stanbic Bank and IHS Markit.


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