Unemployment in USA

United States Unemployment | Economic News & Forecasts

USA - Unemployment

Job gains exceed expectations again in October

Total non-farm payrolls increased by 261,000 in October, down from 315,000 in September but beating market expectations. Employment gains were particularly strong in health care, professional and technical services, and manufacturing. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.7% in October from 3.5% in September.

All in all, the data shows the labor market remained resilient at the outset of Q4. Looking ahead, the Consensus is for the labor market to lose steam heading into 2023 as the economy slackens amid higher interest rates, with the unemployment rate forecast to move back above 4% next year.

On the outlook, TD Economics’ Thomas Feltmate said:

“Job growth continues to run well in excess of a pace consistent with trend growth in labor supply. This cannot be sustained indefinitely. Even with some reversal in last month's labor force numbers, the participation rate among the core working age (25-54 years old) still sits at its 2019 average. This suggest further gains in labor supply are likely to be more tepid, which should exert a more meaningful drag on employment.”

FocusEconomics panelists expect the unemployment rate to average 4.3% in 2023, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 4.5% in 2024.

United States - Unemployment Data

2015   2016   2017   2018   2019  
Unemployment Rate5.3  4.9  4.3  3.9  3.7  

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USA Unemployment

United States Facts

Value Change Date
Bond Yield1.92-0.43 %Dec 31
Exchange Rate1.120.65 %Dec 31

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