CIS Countries Economic Forecast

Economic Snapshot for the CIS Countries

October 6, 2021

CIS Plus GDP to rebound in 2021

The CIS Plus economy should recover strongly this year, amid the release of pent-up consumer demand and as a sturdier external backdrop boosts regional exports. Moreover, rekindled domestic activity in heavyweight Russia should translate into healthier remittance inflows for smaller economies. Geopolitical tensions and new Covid-19 strains cloud the outlook, however.

Regional inflation to peak

Regional inflation rose to 7.4% in August (July: 7.2%), marking the highest reading since our records began in 2018. The acceleration was broad-based, with just Kyrgyzstan posting a decrease in inflation from the previous month. Regional inflation should peak by the end of the year and gradually moderate next year on cooling demand growth and easing supply constraints.

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