Trade Balance in USA
USA - Trade Balance
Growth appears set to moderate in the second quarter from Q1’s strong outturn, which was flattered by inventories and net trade effects that are likely to unwind in Q2. Nevertheless, private consumption should regain steam after a weak Q1 showing, thanks largely to a rock-solid labor market which still shows healthy momentum despite a meek print in May. Low unemployment and robust wage growth are buttressing retail sales and consumer confidence, which both posted strong readings in May. On the other hand, business investment and manufacturing activity—which slowed in May according to ISM data—will likely be hit by the recent trade war escalation. On this front, all eyes are on the next G20 summit on 28-29 June, where Presidents Trump and Xi will meet. While a successful meeting could see a truce and a resumption of bilateral talks, the U.S. could also slap tariffs on an additional USD 300 billion of Chinese imports if discussions are not fruitful.United States - Trade Balance Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Balance (USD billion) | - | - | - | - | - |
United States Trade Balance Chart
United States Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 2.13 | -0.43 % | Jul 11 |
| Exchange Rate | 1.13 | 0.65 % | Jul 11 |
| Stock Market | 27,088 | 0.02 % | Jul 11 |
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Economic News
United States: Strong retail sales growth in June rounds out solid second quarter for consumer spending
July 16, 2019
Nominal retail sales rose 0.4% over the prior month in seasonally-adjusted terms in June, matching May’s revised 0.4% increase (previously reported: +0.5% month-on-month).
United States: Headline inflation weakens in June; Federal Reserve rate cut appears increasingly imminent
July 11, 2019
Consumer prices rose 0.1% over the previous month in June, increasing by the same margin as in May.
United States: Strong payroll gains in June assuage investors’ fear and decrease odds of a July Fed rate cut
July 5, 2019
The June jobs report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed a sharp rebound in payroll growth following a meek reading in May, suggesting that economic momentum—while waning—remains quite resilient for now, and somewhat reducing the odds that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its next meeting on 30–31 July.
United States: ISM manufacturing index eases to two-and-a-half-year low in June on flat new orders
July 1, 2019
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index fell from 52.1 in May to 51.7 in June, the lowest reading since November 2016.
United States: Consumer confidence falls to near two-year low in June on pessimistic shift in expectations
June 25, 2019
The Conference Board’s monthly consumer confidence index sharply fell from a revised 131.3 in May (previously reported: 134.1) to 121.5 in June, wildly missing market expectations of 132.0.
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