Fiscal Balance in Taiwan
Taiwan - Fiscal BalanceEconomic momentum appears to have continued waning in the fourth quarter—after logging a marked deceleration in the third quarter—according to available economic data. Notably, the PMI fell into contractionary territory in October before dipping again in November, while exports unexpectedly declined in November, largely due to weaker smartphone demand. Though export orders were robust in October, the softer demand for tech products will likely continue to weigh on the trade sector until year-end. Meanwhile, the more subdued private spending observed in Q3 looks poised to continue in Q4, as consumer confidence fell again in November. Nevertheless, a large public infrastructure package will likely keep buttressing investment growth in the quarter and beyond. On the political front, the local elections held on 24 November—seen by analysts largely as an interim evaluation of the government’s policy—dealt a heavy blow to President Tsai, forcing her to resign as head of the Democratic Progressive Party and possibly compromising her 2020 reelection bid.
Taiwan - Fiscal Balance Data
|Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)||-1.4||-0.8||0.1||-0.3||-1.4|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
|Bond Yield||0.88||1.28 %||Jan 16|
|Exchange Rate||30.81||0.07 %||Jan 16|
|Stock Market||9,764||0.37 %||Jan 16|
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January 8, 2019
Consumer prices fell 0.50% in December from the previous month, up from the 0.61% decline logged in November.
January 7, 2019
Merchandise exports fell 3.0% in annual terms in December, a slight improvement over November’s 3.4% year-on-year contraction.
January 2, 2019
Operating conditions in the Taiwanese manufacturing sector deteriorated for the third consecutive month in December, indicating significantly weaker momentum in the fourth quarter.
December 24, 2018
Industrial output expanded 2.1% year-on-year in November, down markedly from the 8.3% growth registered in October.
Taiwan: Central Bank leaves rate unchanged in December amid slowing growth momentum and trade worries
December 20, 2018
Taiwan’s Central Bank of the Republic of China (CBRC) stood pat for the 10th consecutive quarter at its 20 December monetary policy meeting.