Industrial Production in China
The Chinese economy recorded an average industrial production growth rate of 5.9% in the decade to 2024. In 2024, industrial production growth was 5.8%. For more industry information, visit our dedicated page.
China Industry Chart
Note: This chart displays Industrial Production (annual variation in %) for China from 2014 to 2024.
Source: Macrobond.
China Industry Data
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Industrial Production (ann. var. %) | 2.8 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 5.8 |
Economic activity disappoints in August
Latest reading: Industrial output expanded by 5.2% in August compared with a year earlier, moderating from July’s 5.7% and coming in below market forecasts. It was the weakest pace of growth since August 2024, as momentum in manufacturing and utilities output cooled. Retail sales advanced 3.4% in August from a year earlier, down from July’s 3.7% and below the anticipated 3.8%. This marked the weakest growth since November 2024, as the lift provided by the consumer trade-in initiative faded across multiple industries. In addition, fixed-asset investment rose by 0.5% year-on-year in January–August, much less than market expectations and compared to a 1.6% increase in the first seven months. Finally, housing indicators such as home prices, housing sales and floor space under construction remained in contraction, showing that the property sector has yet to turn a corner despite repeated government support measures.
Panelist insight: On the implications of the data, Nomura analysts said: “The activity data […] are broadly in line with our forecasts for demand shocks in H2 and limited support to the real economy from the ongoing stock rally. While we see some upside risk to our cautious Q3 GDP growth forecast of 4.0% (versus the official reading of 5.2% for Q2), due to the faster growth in the financial sector, we believe consensus GDP forecasts may need to be revised down following today’s release.”
How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Chinese industry projections for the next ten years from a panel of 16 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable industry forecast available for Chinese industry.
Download one of our sample reports to visualize what a Consensus Forecast is and see our Chinese industry projections.
Want to get access to the full dataset of Chinese industry forecasts? Send an email to info@focus-economics.com.
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