Industry in China

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China - Industry

Manufacturing activities drag on industrial production growth in May

Industrial production expanded 6.8% annually in May, decelerating from the 7.0% rise recorded in April and undershooting market expectations of a 7.0% increase.

Manufacturing activities led the slowdown in May. Conversely, the mining sector rebounded in annual terms in May and expanded at the fastest pace since March 2016, while electricity generation growth accelerated to a nearly five-year high. Importantly, growth in new economic drivers (mostly high-tech) continued to expand vigorously in May, suggesting that China is slowly moving up the manufacturing value chain.

On a month-on-month basis, industrial production expanded 0.58% in seasonally-adjusted terms in May, coming in below April’s 0.61% rise. Annual average growth in industrial production steadied at April’s 6.6% in May.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect industrial production to rise 6.4% in 2018, which is up 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast. In 2019, the panel sees industrial production growth decelerating to 6.1%.

China - Industry Data

2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  
Industrial Production (annual variation in %)9.7  8.3  6.1  6.0  6.6  

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China Industry
Note: Annual variation of industrial production in %.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China and FocusEconomics calculations.

China Facts

ValueChangeDate
Bond Yield3.50-0.40 %Jul 17
Exchange Rate6.71-0.19 %Jul 17
Stock Market2,798-0.34 %Jul 17

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