Current Account in Brazil
Brazil - Current Account (billions of U.S. Dollars)
Current account deficit widens in October
Brazil’s current account recorded a deficit of USD 4.5 billion in October, deteriorating from the USD 1.2 billion shortfall recorded in October 2020 and the USD 1.7 billion deficit clocked in September of this year.
October’s result largely reflected a smaller goods surplus and a reduction in the services account deficit. Contrastingly, the primary income account deficit increased compared to a year ago. Meanwhile, net foreign investment moderated in the month, totaling USD 2.5 billion (October 2020: USD 3.1 billion).
Accordingly, the 12-month sum of the current balance widened slightly to a USD 26.5 billion deficit from the USD 23.2 billion shortfall recorded in September, which was equivalent to approximately 1.7% of GDP (September: Approximately 1.5% of GDP).
Commenting on the outlook for Brazil’s current account, Alberto Ramos, economist at Goldman Sachs, noted:
“Overall, the short-term current account dynamics remain benign given still solid export demand and terms of trade compounded by a weak/competitive real effective exchange rate. However, beyond favorable cyclical dynamics, a deep fiscal adjustment to reduce the highly negative public sector savings remains key to enable a permanent structural current account adjustment (rather than just a cyclical adjustment driven by the weak below-potential domestic demand).”
The LatinFocus Consensus Forecast projects a current account deficit of 1.5% of GDP in 2022. For 2023, panelists foresee the current account deficit at 1.8% of GDP.
Brazil - Current Account (USD bn) Data
|Current Account Balance (USD bn)||-54.5||-24.2||-15.0||-41.5||-49.5|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Brazil Current Account (USD bn) Chart
Source: Central Bank of Brazil and FocusEconomics calculations.
|Bond Yield||6.79||-0.82 %||Dec 31|
|Exchange Rate||4.02||-0.13 %||Jan 01|
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December 3, 2021
Industrial production slid 0.6% month-on-month in seasonally-adjusted terms in October (September: -0.6% mom).
December 1, 2021
The IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.8 in November, down from 51.7 in October and hitting its lowest level in 18 months.
November 26, 2021
The Getulio Vargas Foundation’s (Fundação Getúlio Vargas) industrial business confidence index came in at 102.1 in November, down from 105.2 in October.
November 25, 2021
Brazil’s current account recorded a deficit of USD 4.5 billion in October, deteriorating from the USD 1.2 billion shortfall recorded in October 2020 and the USD 1.7 billion deficit clocked in September of this year. October’s result largely reflected a smaller goods surplus and a reduction in the services account deficit.
November 24, 2021
The seasonally-adjusted consumer confidence index published by the Getulio Vargas Foundation fell to 74.9 in November, following October’s 76.3 reading.