Current Account in Brazil
Brazil - Current Account
Current account drops into deficit in July
Brazil’s current account recorded a deficit of USD 1.6 billion in July, below the USD 0.6 billion shortfall recorded in July 2020 and contrasting the USD 3.0 billion surplus clocked in June of this year.
July’s result largely reflected greater deficits in the services and primary income accounts compared to a year ago, while the goods surplus narrowed slightly. Meanwhile, net foreign investment strengthened in the month, totaling USD 6.1 billion (July 2020: USD 5.2 billion).
Accordingly, the 12-month sum of the current balance widened slightly to a USD 20.3 billion deficit from the USD 19.4 billion shortfall recorded in June, which was equivalent to approximately 1.3% of GDP (June: Approximately 1.3% of GDP).
Commenting on the outlook for Brazil’s current account, Alberto Ramos, economist at Goldman Sachs, noted:
“Overall, the short-term current account dynamics remain favorable given solid export demand and improving terms of trade compounded by the soft domestic demand and a weak/competitive real effective exchange rate, but a deep fiscal adjustment that would elevate public sector savings remains critical to facilitate a permanent structural current account adjustment (rather than just a cyclical adjustment driven by the weak below-potential domestic demand).”
The LatinFocus Consensus Forecast projects a current account deficit of 0.5% of GDP in 2021. For 2022, panelists foresee the current account deficit at 1.3% of GDP.
Brazil - Current Account Data
|Current Account (% of GDP)||-3.0||-1.3||-0.7||-2.2||-2.7|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Brazil Current Account Chart
Source: Central Bank of Brazil and FocusEconomics calculations.
|Bond Yield||6.79||-0.82 %||Dec 31|
|Exchange Rate||4.02||-0.13 %||Jan 01|
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September 10, 2021
Retail sales increased 1.2% in month-on-month seasonally-adjusted terms in July, which was a mild improvement on June's 0.9% increase.
September 9, 2021
Consumer prices rose a seasonally-adjusted 0.87% over the previous month in August, coming in below the 0.96% rise seen in July.
September 2, 2021
Industrial output decreased 1.3% in month-on-month seasonally-adjusted terms in July, which was a larger contraction than June's 0.2% decrease.
September 1, 2021
The IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 53.6 in August, down from July's 56.7.
September 1, 2021
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