Producer Prices in Australia
Australia - Producer Prices
Inflation ticks up in Q1 2021
In the first quarter of 2021, consumer prices rose 0.6% over the previous quarter, following a 0.9% increase in Q4 2020. Q1’s increase was mainly the result of higher prices for transportation, health, clothing and footwear and communication.
Annual inflation came in at 1.1% in Q1, up from Q4 2020’s 0.9%. Therefore, inflation got closer to the Reserve Bank’s 2.0%–3.0% target band.
Commenting on the release, Robert Carnell, regional head of research at ING, stated:
“In 2Q21, the base comparison will be much starker, as Australia's CPI index fell 1.9% QoQ in 2Q20, so even if 2Q21 is another uninspiring quarter for price increases, we should still see the headline rate of inflation increase by about a further 2 percentage points, potentially pushing annual inflation slightly above the central bank's 2-3% inflation target. However, without a stronger pick up in the quarterly rates of CPI increase, this peak is likely to prove very short-lived. Third-quarter base comparisons reverse abruptly, with 3Q20 CPI increasing by 1.6%QoQ. So any spike in inflation above 3% in 2Q21 is unlikely to foster thoughts of any imminent changes to policy rates or quantitative easing schedules without a noticeable change in the underlying quarterly rates.”
Our panelists see inflation averaging 1.4% in 2021 and 1.6% in 2022%.
Australia - Producer Prices Data
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation (PPI, annual variation in %) | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Australia Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 1.37 | 1.47 % | Dec 31 |
| Exchange Rate | 0.70 | 0.05 % | Dec 31 |
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Economic News
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Australia: RBA stands pat in December
December 7, 2021
At its monetary policy meeting on 7 December, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided keep the cash rate unchanged at the all-time low of 0.10%, and stated it will continue purchasing government bonds at the rate of AUD 4 billion a week until at least mid-February next year, in order to maintain accommodative financing conditions. The decision was underpinned by moderate inflationary pressures, as well as the ongoing economic recovery amid a fast vaccine rollout.
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Australia: Economic growth slows less than expected in the third quarter
December 3, 2021
Economic activity dropped 1.9% on a seasonally-adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis in Q3, contrasting the previous quarter's 0.7% expansion.
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Australia: Retail sales growth jumps in October
December 2, 2021
Retail sales climbed 4.9% in month-on-month seasonally-adjusted terms in October, which followed September's 1.3% increase and benefited from easing Covid-19 restrictions.
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Australia: Lockdowns weigh on Australia’s labor market in October
November 11, 2021
Seasonally-adjusted employment fell by 46,300 in October, following 141,100 jobs shred in September.
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Australia: Business confidence jumps in October
November 11, 2021
The business confidence index produced by National Australia Bank (NAB) improved to 20.8 points in October from 9.6 points in September.
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