Money in Argentina
Argentina - Money
Central Bank sets a temporary floor for LELIQ rate in July
At its latest meeting held on 1 July, the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) set a temporary floor for the LELIQ rate during July, in order to continue its fight against inflation. At the same time, the BCRA stated it achieved the 0% monetary base growth target for the ninth consecutive month in June, and that it will maintain its current stance on monetary base until the end of the year.
As the BCRA expects a peak in demand for money in July, due to the southern hemisphere winter vacation, the Bank decided to cut the reserve requirements for fixed-term deposits by 3 percentage points. To ensure that this change does not translate into a relaxation of monetary conditions, the Bank introduced a floor for the LELIQ rate during July, set at 58.0%. The BCRA also announced it will reduce the base money target for August-October. This should help drain liquidity, limit potential depreciations in the peso and thus bring inflation down.
Starting 1 October, as stipulated in the standby agreement with the IMF, the Bank adopted a rigid monetary rule which sets a 0% monthly growth for the monetary base. As part of the agreement, the Central Bank also adopted an FX regime, which combines a free-floating range for the peso with the prevention of excessive ARS/USD fluctuations. Given that the Bank will continue to limit growth in the monetary base, inflation should subsequently moderate, while LELIQ interest rates should edge down.
FocusEconomics analysts see the LELIQ rate ending 2019 at 54.02%, due to tight monetary conditions, and 2020 at 34.40%.
Argentina - Money Data
|Money (annual variation in %)||25.7||28.9||28.2||30.4||26.0|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Argentina Money Chart
Source: Argentina Central Bank and FocusEconomics calculations.
|Bond Yield||6.69||0.15 %||Dec 17|
|Exchange Rate||41.70||0.45 %||Jul 11|
|Stock Market||42,856||2.26 %||Jul 11|
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July 17, 2019
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Industrial production fell 6.9% over the same month of last year in May, according to data released by the National Statistical Institute (INDEC) on 4 July.
July 3, 2019
At its latest meeting held on 1 July, the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) set a temporary floor for the LELIQ rate during July, in order to continue its fight against inflation.
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