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Turkey Industry January 2019

Turkey: Industrial production contracts in January in annual terms, but sequential data paints a slightly more positive picture

Industrial output dropped 7.3% in January in calendar-adjusted year-on-year terms. This followed December’s revised 10.0% contraction (previously reported: -9.8% yoy). The marked downturn came on the back of decreased output in the manufacturing; mining and quarrying; and electricity, gas and steam subsectors. Annual average growth in industrial production eased to 0.2% in January from 1.8% in December.

More positively, on a seasonally- and calendar-adjusted basis, industrial production rose 1.0% in January over the prior month, contrasting December’s 1.3% contraction and marking the first month-on-month gain since July 2018. This is likely a sign that activity is finally bottoming out after the industrial sector took a severe blow following last year’s currency crisis.

Turkey Industrial Production Forecast

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