Switzerland Economic Sentiment October 2019

Switzerland

Switzerland: KOF economic barometer rises in October

October 30, 2019

The KOF economic barometer—a leading composite indicator for the Swiss economy, which forecasts a six-month period—rose to 94.7 in October from a revised 93.1 in September (previously reported: 93.2). Despite the marginal uptick, the indicator remained below the series’ long-run average of 100 points, suggesting the economy will expand at a weaker rate in the short-term than its 10-year average rate.

The improved reading in October was the result of more favorable dynamics in the banking and insurance sector, as well as accommodation and food services activity. Moreover, declines in external demand and other services eased. On the downside, the manufacturing and construction sectors were hindered by barriers to production and falling employment, while export prospects will remain lackluster in the months ahead.

Amid intensifying global trade tensions and weak momentum in the Euro area, the KOF indicator has remained entrenched below the 100-point threshold so far this year, pointing to weak economic growth towards the end of 2019 and into 2020.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect GDP growth of 1.2% in 2020, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2021, the panel foresees GDP growth of 1.4%.


Author:, Economist

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Switzerland Economic Sentiment Chart


Switzerland Economic Sentiment October 2019

Note: KOF Economic Barometer Indicator.
Source: KOF Swiss Economic Institute.


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