Peru Economic Activity July 2018

Peru

Peru: Economic activity picks up in July

September 17, 2018

Economic activity expanded 2.3% year-on-year in July, above June’s 2.0% increase but still well below April’s annual growth rate of 7.8%, which was a five-year high. National production in the January–July period, meanwhile, rose by 4.3% from the same period in 2017.

An acceleration in export expansion and resilient domestic demand drove growth in July. The acceleration in exports growth benefited from stronger sales of traditional products, including: sugar, cotton, iron, zinc and gold. On the domestic demand side, retail sales expanded at a decent albeit decelerating pace, while consumer credit growth gathered steam.

In terms of productive sectors, almost all sectors continued to expand. In particular, the trade, telecommunications, and agricultural sectors continued to expand solidly. Moreover, accelerations were recorded in the transport and construction sectors. However, both the mining and hydrocarbons, and fishing sectors continued to contract.

Meanwhile, annual average variation in economic activity came in at 3.3% in July, marginally up from June’s 3.2%.

Peru GDP Forecast


LatinFocus Consensus Forecast panelists expect GDP will expand 3.9% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2019, the panel sees the economy growing 3.8%, also unchanged from lst month.


Author: Massimo Bassetti, Economist

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Peru Economic Activity Chart


Peru Economic Activity July 2018

Note: Year-on-year changes of economic activity and annual average growth rate in %.
Source: Peru National Statistical Institute (INEI) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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