Norway Industry November 2019

Norway

Norway: Industrial production continues to surge in November

January 9, 2020

Industrial production jumped a seasonally-adjusted 3.7% in November from the previous month—the fastest rise since June 2018—stronger than October’s 3.1% rise (previously reported: +3.5% month-on-month).

November’s surge was driven by a barn buster expansion in the extraction and related services sector, which accounts for around 65% of industrial production in Norway, mainly due to state-owned Equinor’s Johan Sverdrup offshore oil and gas facility ramping up production. Meanwhile, the electricity, gas and steam sector contracted at a softer pace, while the manufacturing, sector declined at a slightly stronger pace in November.

In annual working-day adjusted terms, industrial output dropped 0.9% in November, improving notably on the 5.7% plunge in October. Meanwhile, the annual average change in industrial production was minus 4.9% in November, down from October’s minus 4.6% reading.

This year, industrial production will likely continue to strengthen as Equinor’s Johan Sverdrup powers the extraction and related services sector. The mega-project is projected to provide a major boost to Norway’s energy sector in 2020, and will remain a key driver of industrial production over the next couple of years.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists project that industrial production will expand 3.1% in 2020, which is up 1.1 percentage points from last month’s projection, and to expand 3.2% in 2021.


Author:, Economist

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Norway Industry November 2019

Note: Month-on-month seasonally adjusted and year-on-year variation in %.
Source: Statistics Norway (SSB).


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