New Zealand Inflation Q1 2018

New Zealand

New Zealand: Inflation drops sharply in Q1

April 19, 2018

Consumer prices rose 0.5% in Q1 over the previous quarter according to Statistics New Zealand, up from Q4’s 0.1% rise. The reading reflected higher tobacco prices due to a tax hike on 1 January, as well as price rises for other items such as food and non-alcoholic beverages and housing and household utilities.

Inflation tumbled from 1.6% in Q4 to 1.1% in Q1, near the bottom of the Central Bank’s 1.0%-3.0% target range. The sharp decline was a result of a base effect and the introduction of a free year of tertiary education.

New Zealand Inflation Forecast

Going forward, inflation should gradually move back towards the center of the Central Bank’s target range thanks to a slightly weaker NZ dollar and a more favorable base effect. Last month, FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expected inflation to average 1.8% in 2018 and 2.0% in 2019. A new Consensus Forecast will be published on 24 April.

Author:, Economist

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New Zealand Inflation Chart

NewZealand Inflation Q1  2018

Note: Quarter-on-quarter and annual variation of consumer price index in %.
Source: Statistics New Zealand and FocusEconomics calculations.

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