Lithuania GDP Q2 2019

Lithuania

Lithuania: Growth slows in Q2 but remains healthy

August 30, 2019

GDP increased 3.9% in year-on-year terms in the second quarter, according to detailed national accounts data released by Lithuania’s Statistical Institute on 30 August. This was down from both the preliminary estimate of a 4.0% expansion and the first quarter’s 4.2% year-on-year expansion. Moreover, in seasonally- and working day-adjusted quarter-on-quarter terms, growth edged down to 0.8% in the second quarter, from 1.2% in the first quarter.

Robust domestic demand continued to spearhead overall growth in the second quarter. Private consumption picked up slightly (Q2: +3.7% year-on-year; Q1: +3.3% yoy) supported by a tighter labor market and rising wages. On top of that, government spending growth crept up in the quarter (Q2: +1.1% yoy; Q1: +1.0% yoy), further shoring up overall consumption growth. Lastly, fixed investment growth remained upbeat in the second quarter (Q2: +8.1% yoy; Q1: +8.4% yoy), reflecting a favorable business environment following the presidential elections.

Externally, the picture was bleaker. Slowing global growth, weakening trade within the Eurozone and Brexit-related uncertainty caused export growth to more than half in the second quarter (Q2: +4.1% yoy; Q1: +9.4% yoy). This, coupled with a pick-up in imports (Q2: +5.1% yoy; Q1: +4.8% yoy), led to a deterioration in the external sector’s contribution to overall growth in the second quarter.

FocusEconomics analysts see growth at 3.3% in 2019, which is up 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2020, our panel sees growth decelerating to 2.5%.


Author:, Economist

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Lithuania GDP Q2 2019 0

Note: Year-on-year changes of GDP in %.
Source: Statistics Lithuania and FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast.


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