Korea: Forward-looking business confidence increases for September
August 30, 2018
The Bank of Korea’s forward-looking business confidence indicator (BSI) for the manufacturing sector has registered pessimism among businesses for every month since June 2011. For September 2018, the indicator increased to 77 points from 73 points in August. Despite the increase, the BSI came in below both the 100-point threshold for September—signaling another month of pessimism—and the long-run average reading of 86 points.
A breakdown of the BSI components showed that, for September, businesses were less pessimistic about sales prospects, sales prices and profitability than they were for August. Meanwhile, business optimism regarding raw material purchase prices was unchanged for September. Confidence among non-manufacturing businesses—the mainstay of the Korean economy—rose to 77 for September from 74 points for August.
Korea Fixed Investment Forecast
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect fixed investment to expand 2.3% in 2018, which is down 0.4 percentage points from last month’s forecast. In 2019, the panel expects fixed investment to grow 2.5%.
Author: Edward Gardner, Economist