Japan Industry January 2018

Japan

Japan: Industrial production plummets in January

February 28, 2018

Industrial production tumbled to a 6.6% contraction compared to the previous month in seasonally-adjusted terms in January, contrasting December’s revised 2.9% increase (previously reported: +2.7% month-on-month). The was below the 4.2% drop that market analysts had expected and represented the fastest pace of contraction since the March 2011 devastating earthquake.

The categories that mainly contributed to the month-on-month drop were transport equipment; general-purpose, production and business oriented machinery, in that order.

On an annual basis, industrial output grew 2.7% in January, slowing down from December’s 4.4% increase. Annual average growth in industrial production ticked down from 4.6% in December to 4.5% in January.

The Survey of Production Forecast showed that manufacturers are becoming more optimistic. They now expect industrial production to have expanded 9.0% in February, up from the 5.7% rise forecast in the previous survey. Manufacturers, however, expect industrial output to decline 2.7% in March.

Japan Industrial Production Forecast


FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see industrial production rising 3.0% in 2018, which is up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month’s projection. For 2019 the panel expects industrial production to expand 2.2%.


Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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Japan Industry January 2018

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally-adjusted industrial production and year-on-year growth rate in %.
Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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