Japan Industry June 2019

Japan

Japan: Industrial production declines at fastest pace in 18 months in June

July 30, 2019

Industrial production fell 3.6% on a month-on-month and seasonally-adjusted basis in June, contrasting May’s 2.0% increase and marking the sharpest fall in a year-and-a-half. The print furthermore missed the 1.0% decrease that market analysts had expected by a wide margin.

The categories that drove the month-on-month decrease were motor vehicles; production machinery; and electrical machinery and computing equipment, in descending order. Lower output for these categories was partially offset by increases in production of inorganic and organic chemicals, and petroleum and coal products.

On an annual basis, industrial output fell 4.1% in June, down from a 2.1% decline in May. The annual average variation in industrial production fell from minus 0.4% in May to minus 0.7% in June.

The Survey of Production Forecast showed that manufacturers see production rebounding. They now expect industrial output to have recorded a 2.7% monthly increase in July, up from the 0.3% increase forecast in the previous month’s survey. However, they see output growth slowing to 0.6% in August.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see industrial production rising 0.4% in 2019, which is down 0.1 percentage points over the previous month’s projection. For 2020 the panel expects industrial production to expand 0.8%.


Author:, Economist

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Japan Industry June 2019

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally-adjusted industrial production and year-on-year growth rate in %.
Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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