Israel Trade April 2019

Israel

Israel: Exports contract sharply in April, while imports stagnate

May 19, 2019

Merchandise exports contracted 18.0% year-on-year in April in USD terms, contrasting March’s 12.7% growth. Imports were down 0.1%, contrasting March’s 4.9% growth, while the trade deficit widened from USD 1.2 billion in March to USD 2.5 billion in April.

Looking at trend data for February-April, export growth slowed notably from the previous rolling quarter, likely weighed on by the stronger shekel. While exports of higher-tech exports were up year-on-year, lower-tech exports declined in annual terms. Turning to imports, Q1 trend data reveals sharp rises in consumer and investment goods, and fuel, likely supported by strong domestic demand and a surge in vehicle imports ahead of environmental tax changes.

Looking ahead, a global economic slowdown and trade tensions will likely weigh on exports, while import growth should moderate sharply on a tough base effect.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect exports and imports to grow 3.2% and 2.6% respectively in 2019. Our panel expects a trade deficit of USD 16.5 billion in 2019. For 2020, panelists see exports growing 5.7%, imports growing 5.7% and a trade deficit of USD 17.5 billion.


Author:, Economist

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Israel Trade April 2019

Note: 12-month sum of trade balance in USD billion and annual average variation of the 12-month sum of exports and imports.
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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