India Inflation September 2019

India

India: Consumer price inflation accelerates in September

October 14, 2019

In September, consumer prices rose 0.55% compared to the previous month, edging down from the 0.56% increase in August. The increase was largely due to more expensive food and beverages, which, as a category, account for over half of the weight of India’s consumer price basket.

Consumer price inflation accelerated to 4.0% in September, up from 3.3% in August. As a result, inflation hit the 4.0% midpoint of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) target range of 2.0%–6.0%.

Wholesale prices decreased 0.08% in September compared to the previous month, contrasting August’s 0.08% increase. Wholesale price inflation, meanwhile, slowed to 0.3% in September from 1.1% in August.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect consumer price inflation to average 3.6% in FY 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. In FY 2020, the panel expects consumer price inflation to average 4.1%. Meanwhile, our panel projects wholesale inflation of 2.6% for FY 2019, down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s report. In FY 2020, our panel foresees wholesale inflation averaging 3.5%.


Author:, Economist

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India Inflation Chart


India Inflation September 2019

Note: Annual and monthly variation of wholesale price index (WPI) and annual variation of consumer price index (CPI) in %.
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry and FocusEconomics calculations.


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