Hungary Economic Sentiment October 2019


Hungary: Economic sentiment slips to near three-year low in October

October 28, 2019

The GKI economic sentiment index, a composite indicator, fell to minus 0.7 in October from minus 0.3 in September—the worst print since December 2016. October’s reading was underpinned by a sharp drop in consumer confidence, which more than offset a jump in business sentiment.

Consumer confidence deteriorated markedly in October following two consecutive months of notable improvement. The index tumbled to minus 9.8 from minus 3.7 in September. Households held less favorable assessments on their personal financial situation and ability to save, along with a reduced willingness to purchase big-ticket items.

Conversely, business confidence recovered some lost ground in October after slipping to a nearly six-year low in September, but on the whole remained weak. The index rose to 2.5 from 0.9. Confidence improved significantly in the industrial and trade sectors, while sentiment in the construction and services sectors remained relatively stable.

FocusEconomics panelists expect fixed investment to grow 4.1% in 2020, which is down 0.4 percentage points from last month’s projection. For 2021, the panel sees fixed investment growth decelerating to 2.9%. FocusEconomics project expect private consumption to expand 3.7% in 2020, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2021, panelists see private consumption rising 2.9%.


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Hungary Economic Sentiment Chart

Hungary Economic Sentiment October 2019

Note: Consumer confidence, business confidence and economic sentiment indicators.
Source: GKI Economic Research Co.

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