Hong Kong Retail December 2017

Hong Kong

Hong Kong: Retail sales growth moderates in December, but remains robust

February 1, 2018

Retail sales volumes grew 4.3% in annual terms in December, decelerating from the revised 7.0% jump—a 33-month-high—recorded in November (previously reported: +6.9% year-on-year). Robust employment and income dynamics, coupled with improving inbound tourism, were behind December’s robust reading.

Sales performance was mixed across outlet types. Annual sales growth at outlets of consumer durable goods and other consumer goods remained strong in the month, despite decelerating from November. Notably, year-on-year sales growth of luxury items—whose sales are typically tied to inbound tourism from mainland China—moderated somewhat in December, despite the influx of visitors. Meanwhile, supermarkets and fuel outlets recorded larger drops in annual sales from November, while non-supermarket food and beverage sales swung into contraction in the month.

For the full-year 2017, growth in retail sales rebounded after three years of consecutive declines, climbing to 1.9% from a 7.1% contraction in 2016.

A government spokesperson noted that:

“Retail sales increased solidly in December 2017 over a year earlier, reflecting the upbeat consumption sentiment amid favorable employment and income conditions. The continued revival of inbound tourism also helped.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect retail sales to pick up and increase 4.2% in 2018, which is up 1.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2019, the panel also sees retail sales growing 2.5%.

Author:, Economist

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Hong Kong Retail Chart

HongKong Retail December 2017

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average variation in %.
Source: Census and Statistics Department Hong Kong.

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