Guatemala Remittances March 2018


Guatemala: Remittances growth eases in March

April 7, 2018

Remittances from workers abroad grew 2.0% in March from the same month a year earlier, reaching USD 755 million and marking a deceleration from February’s 2.6% expansion.

In the 12 months through March, remittances ticked up to a cumulative USD 8.3 billion, an all-time high and unchanged from a month earlier. Moreover, cumulative transactions through March represented an 11.2% increase from a year earlier, a slight deceleration from the 12.7% increase recorded in the 12 months through February.

Remittances, an important source of income for Guatemalan households, account for more than a tenth of the country’s output and the vast majority of receipts originate in the United States. As such, remittances are inextricably tied to U.S. employment trends and the broader health of the U.S. economy. Furthermore, the recent surge in remittance inflows has come amid heightened uncertainty over the direction of U.S. immigration policy.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants see private consumption expanding 3.7% in 2018, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2019, our panelists again expect private consumption to increase 3.7%.


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Guatemala Remittances Chart

Guatemala Remittances March 2018

Note: Monthly remittances in USD million and 12-month sum of remittances in USD billion.
Source: Guatemala Central Bank and FocusEconomics calculations.

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