France PMI December 2018


France: ‘Yellow vest' protests bruise private-sector activity in December

December 14, 2018

In December, the seasonally-adjusted IHS Markit Flash Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) plummeted to 49.3 from 54.2 a month earlier, landing below the 50.0-point threshold and pointing to a rare contraction in private-sector activity.

The print reflected significant disruptions brought on by the ongoing ‘yellow vest’ protests. Services-sector activity experienced its first contraction in more than two years, while manufacturing-sector activity, rather, was held back by a slowdown in automotive output. Moreover, new orders fell and employment growth slowed. Meanwhile, both sectors witnessed a drop-off in firms’ sentiment as the prospect of further social unrest hung over their short-term plans.

France Fixed Invesment Forecast

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see fixed investment growing 3.0% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s estimate. For 2020, the panel sees fixed investment expanding 2.5%.


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France PMI Chart

France PMI December 2018

Note: Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity while a value below 50 points to a contraction.
Source: Markit.

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