Finland Economic Outlook
October 27, 2020The economy is expected to have emerged from recession in Q3 after contracting in Q2 due to the fallout from the pandemic; however, data points to a fragile recovery. Economic activity swung to expansion in July–August from Q2’s overall contraction, although growth lost steam relative to its peak in June. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to a near three-year high in September and consumer confidence decreased in the same month to its lowest value since May, likely capping private spending. On the external front, merchandise exports continued to fall in July–August, albeit at a softer pace compared to Q2. On the political front, on 15 October the government presented the 2021 draft budget, projecting public debt to rise but the fiscal deficit to narrow compared to 2020. The budget will focus on improving employment conditions, particularly for young people and over-55s, and environmental issues.
Finland Economic GrowthThe economy is set to grow strongly next year, recovering from this year’s Covid-19-induced GDP contraction. A recovery is expected on the back of the reopening of economies as international travel and foreign trade resume, buttressing both domestic and external demand. However, uncertainty lingers over further waves of the virus, clouding the outlook. FocusEconomics panelists project GDP to grow 3.1% in 2021, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s projection, and 2.1% in 2022.
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|Bond Yield||0.03||3.70 %||Dec 30|
|Exchange Rate||8.78||-0.38 %||Jan 01|
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Finland Economic News
April 15, 2021
Economic activity shrank 0.6% year-on-year in working-day adjusted terms in February, softening notably from January’s 1.4% contraction. February’s improvement was chiefly due to the services sector falling at a more moderate rate, while secondary production growth accelerating from the previous month.
April 14, 2021
Consumer prices increased 0.24% in March over the previous month, moderating from February's 0.36% increase.
April 12, 2021
The current account recorded a EUR 0.4 billion surplus in February, swinging from the EUR 0.7 billion deficit recorded in the same month last year and notably up from the EUR 0.2 billion surplus logged in the previous month.
March 15, 2021
The current account recorded a EUR 0.1 billion deficit in January, falling from the EUR 0.4 billion surplus recorded in January 2020 and the EUR 2.0 billion surplus logged in the previous month.
March 15, 2021
Economic activity decreased 3.7% year-on-year in working-day adjusted terms in January, easing from December’s 4.0% drop. January’s softer fall was mostly driven by a rebound in both the primary—which includes agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing subsectors—and secondary sectors over the previous month.