Egypt Inflation November 2020

Egypt

Egypt: Inflation hits highest level since April in November

December 10, 2020

Consumer prices increased 0.82% in November over the previous month, which was below October's 1.80% increase. Looking at the details of the release, prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages, and clothes and footwear rose in November.

Inflation came in at 5.7% in November, above October’s 4.5%. November's figure represented the highest inflation rate since April. Meanwhile, the trend pointed up slightly, with annual average inflation coming in at 5.2% in November (October: 5.0%). Core inflation rose to 4.0% from October’s 3.9%.

Regarding November’s reading, Farouk Soussa, economist at Goldman Sachs, commented:

“We believe significant uncertainty will remain around the trajectory of food prices. We maintain our forecasts for sequential monthly CPI, and the uptick in November now mechanically raises our medium-term yoy projections. We now see inflation rising to +6.1% yoy by the end of the year, from a forecast of +5.4% yoy previously.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 6.5% in CY 2020, which is up 0.3 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 7.3% in CY 2021.


Author:, Economist

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Egypt Inflation Chart


Egypt Inflation November 20 20 0

Note: Year-on-year and month-on-month variation of urban consumer price index in %.
Source: Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS).


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