China Investment February 2018

China

China: Investment growth accelerates in January-February

March 14, 2018

China’s urban fixed-asset investment expanded 7.9% annually in the first two months of the year, beating the 7.0% rise that market analysts had expected. The print was above the 7.2% in the full year 2017, which had marked the lowest reading since 1999.

Fixed asset investment growth accelerated in the January-February period due to a surge in the primary sector. Growth in the tertiary sector accelerated more timidly in the same period, while dynamics in the secondary sector softened. Meanwhile, investment growth in the closely watched real estate sector accelerated to a three-year high, defying fears of an abrupt slowdown in the real estate sector.

From an ownership perspective, investment growth in fixed assets for state-owned firms remained on a downward trend at the outset of the year, while investment growth among private companies accelerated to an over two-year high.

A month-on-month comparison shows that investment in urban fixed assets rose a seasonally-adjusted 0.61% in February, broadly stable compared to January’s 0.58% rise.

China Fixed Investment Forecast


FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect fixed-asset investment to grow 7.5% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s Consensus. In 2019, the panel sees fixed-asset investment growth at 7.3%.


Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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China Investment Chart


China Investment February 2018 0

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted urban fixed-asset investment index and annual growth rate (year-to-date) in %.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS).


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