China Industry August 2018

China

China: Industrial production broadly stable in August

September 14, 2018

Industrial production expanded 6.1% annually in August, slightly above July’s 6.0% and matching market expectations.

August’s print reflected an acceleration in electricity generation and mining output, while manufacturing production growth edged down.

On a month-on-month basis, industrial production increased 0.52% in seasonally-adjusted terms in August, above July’s 0.47% expansion. Annual average growth in industrial production, meanwhile, edged up from 6.4% in July to 6.5% in August. Despite the slight improvement in August, growth in industrial production remains sluggish and the trend could even worsen in the coming months when spillovers from the ongoing trade dispute with the United States start to kick in.

China Industrial Production Forecast


FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect industrial production to rise 6.4% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2019, the panel sees industrial production growth decelerating to 6.1%.


Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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China Industry Chart


China Industry August 2018 0

Note: Year-on-year variation of industrial production index and annual average growth rate in %. Owing to seasonal factors related to the Lunar New Year, annual figures in January and February are reported together.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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