Brazil Industry September 2018


Brazil: Industrial production plunges in September

November 2, 2018

Industrial production contracted for a third consecutive month in September. Industrial output fell 1.8% month-on-month in seasonally-adjusted terms, a starker drop than August’s revised 0.7% decrease (previously reported: -0.3% month-on-month). The print undershot market expectations of a 0.8% drop.

The decline was driven by sharp drops in the production of capital and consumer goods. Intermediate goods output also contracted but a less severe pace than in the previous month.

In annual terms, industrial production fell 2.0% in September, notably contrasting August’s revised 1.7% increase (previously reported: +2.0% year-on-year). Accordingly, annual average growth fell from 3.2% in August to 2.8% in September, the lowest reading in nine months.

Brazil Industrial Production Forecast

The analysts surveyed by FocusEconomics for this month’s LatinFocus Consensus Forecast see industrial production growing 3.5% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month's estimate. In 2020, industrial output is expected to grow 3.4%.


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Brazil Industry Chart

Brazil Industry September 2018

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted industrial production and annual average growth rate in %.
Source: Brazil Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and FocusEconomics calculations.

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