Brazil Current Account April 2020

Brazil

Brazil: Current account logs largest surplus on record in April

May 26, 2020

Brazil’s current account balance registered a surplus for the second month straight in April, swinging to a USD 3.8 billion surplus from a USD 1.9 billion deficit in April 2019. This marked the highest surplus since the current series began in January 1995 and followed March’s surplus of USD 0.4 billion (previously reported: USD 0.9 billion).

April’s reading largely reflected a lower primary income deficit as well as a narrower shortfall in the services account. Furthermore, the trade surplus increased in the month. The merchandise trade surplus rose to USD 6.7 billion from USD 5.7 billion in the same month last year on a softer contraction in exports than that of imports. Meanwhile, net foreign direct investment weakened notably in April, totaling USD 0.2 billion (April 2019: USD 5.1 billion).

Accordingly, the 12-month sum of the current account balance narrowed to a USD 44.4 billion shortfall, which equates to approximately 2.6% of GDP, from the USD 50.1 billion deficit registered in the 12 months ending in March (2.9% of GDP).

The LatinFocus Consensus Forecast projects a current account deficit of 2.3% of GDP in 2020. For 2021, panelists foresee the current account deficit at 2.4% of GDP.


Author:, Economist

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Brazil Current Account Chart


Brazil Current Account April 20 20 0

Note: Monthly and 12-month current account balance in USD billion.
Source: Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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