Angola Commodities October 2018

Angola

Angola: Cabinda crude oil prices edge up in October

November 12, 2018

The average price of Angola’s Cabinda crude oil jumped from USD 79.5 per barrel (pb) in September to USD 82.0 pb in October. The print marked the highest price in four years and was 3.2% above the average price observed in the previous month and 40.7% higher in year-on-year terms.

Oil prices continued to trend higher at the beginning of October amid fears of global supply disruptions in the wake of U.S. sanctions against Iranian oil exports. Nevertheless, price pressures receded in the following weeks due to growing fears of a global economic slowdown, partly thanks to the cooling of the Chinese economy. In addition, less-severe-than-expected supply constraints added further downward pressure to prices in the second half of the month as OPEC reportedly increased oil output to its highest level in nearly two years in October.

Crude oil production among OPEC countries rose to over 33.0 million barrels per day (mbpd) in October, from September’s 32.85 mbpd, according to the Reuters survey data published on 31 October.

Oil production in Angola edged down in October from the previous month’s 1.58 mbpd to 1.55 mbpd. Looking ahead, the sustained increase in output by major oil producers and weakening global demand will likely continue to weigh on global oil prices in the coming year.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect oil production to reach 1.71 million barrels per day (mbpd) in 2019. In 2020, the panel sees crude output increasing to 1.76 mbpd.


Author:, Economist

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Angola Commodity October 2018

Note: Price of the Cabinda oil basket in USD per barrel
Source: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).


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