Finland Economic Outlook
May 31, 2022After slowing in Q4, the economy lost further steam in Q1. Preliminary data shows that seasonally-adjusted growth in Q1 was milder compared to Q4 due to the Omicron variant and rising inflation hampering consumer spending and industrial output. Still, activity picked up in March amid looser pandemic restrictions and a healthy labor market. In Q2, the economy should be slowing further: Consumer confidence remained pessimistic amid the war in Ukraine and the highest inflation in more than 30 years. That said, the lowest unemployment since June 2019 in April is likely supporting spending. In politics, on 18 May Finland applied to join NATO. Within the same week, Russia halted gas deliveries to Finland. This has already prompted the latter to diversify its energy supply, with higher domestic electricity output, the adoption of alternative fuels and gas and oil imports from Norway and Estonia.
Finland Economic GrowthGrowth this year should halve from 2021’s level due to inflation eroding private spending and the war in Ukraine hindering trade. Lingering supply shocks and energy disruptions will further weigh on industrial activity. Still, a tight labor market and elevated household savings will buffer growth from some of the downside shocks. FocusEconomics panelists project GDP to grow 1.8% in 2022, which is down 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 1.5% in 2023.
Finland Economy Data
5 years of Finland economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Bond Yield||0.03||3.70 %||Dec 30|
|Exchange Rate||8.78||-0.38 %||Jan 01|
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Finland Economic News
November 15, 2022
Economic activity increased 0.6% month-on-month in seasonally adjusted terms in September (August: +0.4% mom).
November 14, 2022
Harmonized inflation was stable at September's 8.4% in October.
November 11, 2022
The current account posted a EUR 0.4 billion surplus in September, rebounding from the EUR 0.5 billion deficit posted in August (September 2021: EUR 1.0 billion surplus).
October 14, 2022
Harmonized inflation rose to 8.4% in September, following August’s 7.9%.
October 12, 2022
The current account posted a EUR 0.2 billion deficit in August, improving from the EUR 0.3 billion deficit clocked in July (August 2021: EUR 0.4 billion surplus).