FocusEconomics Insights - Latest Posts
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Venezuela’s economy: Rising from the ashes?
June 17, 2022
Venezuela’s economic prospects have improved notably in recent months, in contrast to those of the rest of Latin America. In our latest insight piece, we examine why.
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How are the economies of Russia and Ukraine faring amid the war?
June 10, 2022
With the war in Ukraine dragging on into its fourth month, in our latest insight piece we take a look at the economic outlook for Russia and Ukraine.
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Oil prices rise in May, but should cool toward the end of the year
June 7, 2022
Our energy commodities economist Matthew Cunningham examines the outlook for oil prices in light of a rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape.
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The Euro area’s labor market: A bright spot on a gloomy horizon
June 3, 2022
The unemployment rate in the Euro area fell to 6.8% in March, marking a fresh record low, while the rate for the EU as a whole was even lower, at 6.2%.
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Are we heading for an emerging market debt crisis?
May 27, 2022
In our latest insight piece, we look at the challenges facing emerging markets as global financial conditions tighten. -
Will the Fed’s rate hikes lead to a recession?
May 20, 2022
The Federal Reserve raised rates to 1.0% at the end of April, and our analysts currently see up to 225 basis points of additional tightening by the end of the year, with a Consensus of plus 127 basis points. If the higher forecasts are realized, this would take the Fed’s policy rate back to levels not seen since before the 2008 financial crisis.
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Crisis? What crisis? For this region, economic prospects just keep getting better
May 16, 2022
The majority of economic news has been decidedly gloomy in recent months, with the war in Ukraine, surging inflation, tightening monetary policy and a slowdown in China all putting a dampener on the global mood.
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Inflation: how high will it go?
May 6, 2022
Inflation has been on a relentless upward march in recent months in developed economies, on the back of supply chain tightness, the impact of the war in Ukraine on commodity markets, and recovering economic activity. The analysts that we poll have raised their forecasts in tandem: Consumer price inflation is now expected to average 7.1% in the UK and U.S. this year, and only slightly lower than that in the Euro area.
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China’s economy: Heading for a hard landing?
April 29, 2022
Covid-19 has ravaged Chinese economic activity in the last few weeks as large swathes of the country entered a painfully strict lockdown, with tens of millions of residents trapped at home, factories closing and logistics and port activity snarling up. This has come on top of an already deep property market downturn, with property sales and funding in sharp decline and developers laboring under heavy debt burdens.
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Will Mexico’s economic outlook continue to darken?
April 25, 2022
Mexico’s economy continues to grapple with political uncertainty, runaway inflation and weaker growth prospects in the U.S., all of which have led our panel of experts to lower their GDP forecasts in recent months. With little to no progress having been made on passing key energy reforms and as the war in Ukraine rages on, the outlook for the economy could deteriorate further.
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Featured Posts
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The Euro area’s labor market: A bright spot on a gloomy horizon
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Are we heading for an emerging market debt crisis?
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Will the Fed’s rate hikes lead to a recession?
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Inflation: how high will it go?
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Euro area prospects grow bleaker: Is there light at the end of the tunnel?
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Covid impact on East Asia's GDP
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Iranian nuclear deal held hostage by Russia
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