Nigeria Economic Outlook
June 21, 2022Economic growth cooled in the first quarter of the year due to a further deterioration in the key oil sector. This more than offset a strong performance in the services sector leading non-oil sector activity to firm. Second-quarter data paints a mixed picture. Private-sector operating conditions improved at a fractionally slower pace in April–May, while credit growth was also broadly stable in April. That said, inflation rose markedly in the same month. A pickup in core inflation highlights that price pressures are farther-reaching than energy and food price increases. Meanwhile, sectarian violence spread to the country’s relatively safe south-western region. Social tensions and violence could increase going forward, as religious and regional divides are heightening the stakes of the February 2023 presidential elections.
Nigeria Economic GrowthThe economy will grow at a softer pace this year. Inflation will remain elevated, eating into consumers’ pockets. Power supply issues will further jeopardize activity. Moreover, social rifts and violence ahead of the February 2023 elections could undermine momentum. The government’s investment push should support activity, however. FocusEconomics panelists see GDP growth coming in at 3.0% in 2022, which is up 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 3.0% in 2023.
Nigeria Economy Data
5 years of Nigeria economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Bond Yield||11.10||0.0 %||Dec 31|
|Exchange Rate||306.5||3.08 %||Jan 01|
|Stock Market||0.1||0.0 %||Jan 07|
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Nigeria Economic News
February 1, 2023
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)—produced by Stanbic IBTC Bank and S&P Global—came in at a five-month low of 53.5 in January, down from December’s 54.6.
January 18, 2023
Inflation receded for the first time in over a year in December; it softened to 21.3%, down from November’s 21.5%.
January 3, 2023
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)—produced by Stanbic IBTC Bank and S&P Global—came in at 54.6 in December, up from November’s 54.3.
December 1, 2022
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)—produced by Stanbic IBTC Bank and S&P Global—came in at 54.3 in November, up from October's 53.6.
November 24, 2022
The Nigerian economy lost steam in the third quarter of 2022: GDP growth moderated to 2.2% year on year, from 3.5% in the second quarter.